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The myth of one Rulebook

Viewpoint

The map is not the territory

A regulatory map tells you where the lines are supposed to be.
It does not tell you who enforces them, how fast they move, or
whether the market has already redrawn them before the ink was dry.

A regulatory map tells you where the lines are supposed to be. It does not tell you who enforces them, how fast they move, or whether the market has already redrawn them before the ink was dry.

In February 2025, the European Union did something regulators rarely do. It took a law that had let each member state build its own version of the same rule, and replaced it with one law that all twenty-seven of them would follow identically, with no national transposition required.

Three months later, Washington became the seventh US state, still without any federal equivalent, to enact its own packaging producer-responsibility law. Seven states now define "producer," "covered material" and compliance timeline differently from one another.

Neither of those is the whole picture. Nine years earlier, Chile had already set a different pattern in motion, one that seven more countries would go on to follow, one at a time, each choosing its own thresholds and its own timetable.

Three regions, three different instincts, all active at once. Two of these regulators looked at the same underlying problem and reached opposite conclusions about how many rulebooks the world needs. The third group never had that conversation at all.

What you'll get in the full report:

  • Why harmonisation and devolution aren't sequential phases, they're both happening right now, in the same industry
  • A side-by-side breakdown of the EU's binding regulation vs. the US state-by-state patchwork, and what still varies even after "harmonisation"
  • How businesses are quietly building their own private harmonisation layer, and where it's already failing
  • Why regulation is only one of three clocks moving underneath your portfolio, and what the other two are
  • The five questions to ask before you plan around either assumption

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